Backtest results

2026-05-01 to 2026-06-11 · 112 simulated plays · flat 1u stakes · net -4.36u · generated 2026-06-15 20:06 UTC · historical simulation, not betting advice

Lines: real OddsPortal closing moneylines (~90% coverage); unmatched plays use -110 assumption. Filter: only ★★ Strong Play and ★★★ Best Bet grades shown (1-star plays excluded — backtest showed ~0% ROI at that tier).

Performance by tier

Tier	Record	Win%	Units	ROI
All plays	63-49	56.2%	-4.36u	-3.9%
★★★ BEST BET	63-49	56.2%	-4.36u	-3.9%
ML plays	63-49	56.2%	-4.36u	-3.9%

Cumulative units over time

All plays★★★

Every simulated play (click headers to sort)

Date	Grade	Pick	Line	Game	Result	Units
2026-06-11	★★★	SEA ML	n/a	SEA @ BAL	L	-1.00
2026-06-11	★★★	LAD ML	-182	LAD @ PIT	W	+0.55
2026-06-10	★★★	PHI ML	n/a	PHI @ TOR	W	+0.91
2026-06-10	★★★	ATL ML	n/a	ATL @ CWS	L	-1.00
2026-06-10	★★★	TEX ML	n/a	TEX @ KC	W	+0.91
2026-06-10	★★★	TB ML	n/a	BOS @ TB	W	+0.91
2026-06-10	★★★	LAD ML	n/a	LAD @ PIT	L	-1.00
2026-06-09	★★★	NYY ML	-125	NYY @ CLE	W	+0.80
2026-06-08	★★★	SD ML	-135	CIN @ SD	W	+0.74
2026-06-08	★★★	HOU ML	-130	HOU @ LAA	W	+0.77
2026-06-08	★★★	SEA ML	-125	SEA @ BAL	W	+0.80
2026-06-08	★★★	MIL ML	n/a	MIL @ ATH	W	+0.91
2026-06-07	★★★	NYY ML	-149	BOS @ NYY	W	+0.67
2026-06-07	★★★	LAD ML	-263	LAA @ LAD	L	-1.00
2026-06-06	★★★	SEA ML	-125	SEA @ DET	W	+0.80
2026-06-05	★★★	ATL ML	-141	PIT @ ATL	W	+0.71
2026-06-05	★★★	LAD ML	n/a	LAA @ LAD	W	+0.91
2026-06-04	★★★	PHI ML	-222	SD @ PHI	W	+0.45
2026-06-04	★★★	ATL ML	-263	TOR @ ATL	L	-1.00
2026-06-03	★★★	NYY ML	-133	CLE @ NYY	L	-1.00
2026-06-03	★★★	ATL ML	-149	TOR @ ATL	W	+0.67
2026-06-03	★★★	PIT ML	-143	PIT @ HOU	L	-1.00
2026-06-03	★★★	SEA ML	-139	NYM @ SEA	L	-1.00
2026-06-02	★★★	ATL ML	-115	TOR @ ATL	W	+0.87
2026-06-02	★★★	SEA ML	-149	NYM @ SEA	W	+0.67
2026-06-02	★★★	CIN ML	-125	KC @ CIN	W	+0.80
2026-06-02	★★★	NYY ML	-200	CLE @ NYY	L	-1.00
2026-06-01	★★★	CWS ML	+120	CWS @ MIN	L	-1.00
2026-06-01	★★★	SEA ML	-125	NYM @ SEA	W	+0.80
2026-06-01	★★★	LAD ML	n/a	LAD @ ARI	L	-1.00
2026-05-31	★★★	CLE ML	-115	BOS @ CLE	L	-1.00
2026-05-30	★★★	MIA ML	+104	MIA @ NYM	L	-1.00
2026-05-30	★★★	SEA ML	n/a	ARI @ SEA	W	+0.91
2026-05-30	★★★	TB ML	-169	LAA @ TB	L	-1.00
2026-05-30	★★★	NYY ML	-156	NYY @ ATH	L	-1.00
2026-05-29	★★★	TEX ML	-125	KC @ TEX	W	+0.80
2026-05-29	★★★	MIA ML	-105	MIA @ NYM	L	-1.00
2026-05-29	★★★	TB ML	-149	LAA @ TB	W	+0.67
2026-05-29	★★★	NYY ML	-141	NYY @ ATH	W	+0.71
2026-05-29	★★★	SEA ML	-143	ARI @ SEA	W	+0.70
2026-05-29	★★★	LAD ML	n/a	PHI @ LAD	W	+0.91
2026-05-27	★★★	ATL ML	-105	ATL @ BOS	L	-1.00
2026-05-27	★★★	NYY ML	-156	NYY @ KC	W	+0.64
2026-05-27	★★★	LAD ML	n/a	COL @ LAD	W	+0.91
2026-05-26	★★★	ATL ML	-105	ATL @ BOS	W	+0.95
2026-05-26	★★★	NYY ML	-200	NYY @ KC	W	+0.50
2026-05-25	★★★	NYM ML	-130	CIN @ NYM	L	-1.00
2026-05-25	★★★	TB ML	-115	TB @ BAL	L	-1.00
2026-05-25	★★★	TEX ML	-118	HOU @ TEX	L	-1.00
2026-05-24	★★★	ATL ML	-154	WSH @ ATL	L	-1.00
2026-05-24	★★★	SEA ML	-120	SEA @ KC	L	-1.00
2026-05-23	★★★	STL ML	-105	STL @ CIN	L	-1.00
2026-05-23	★★★	TEX ML	-133	TEX @ LAA	L	-1.00
2026-05-23	★★★	SEA ML	-130	SEA @ KC	L	-1.00
2026-05-22	★★★	CWS ML	n/a	CWS @ SF	W	+0.91
2026-05-22	★★★	ATL ML	-189	WSH @ ATL	W	+0.53
2026-05-22	★★★	TEX ML	-164	TEX @ LAA	L	-1.00
2026-05-21	★★★	ATH ML	+100	ATH @ LAA	W	+1.00
2026-05-21	★★★	ATL ML	-133	ATL @ MIA	W	+0.75
2026-05-20	★★★	NYY ML	-169	TOR @ NYY	L	-1.00
2026-05-20	★★★	LAD ML	-200	LAD @ SD	W	+0.50
2026-05-20	★★★	ATH ML	n/a	ATH @ LAA	W	+0.91
2026-05-20	★★★	ATL ML	-182	ATL @ MIA	W	+0.55
2026-05-19	★★★	ATL ML	-141	ATL @ MIA	W	+0.71
2026-05-19	★★★	LAD ML	-169	LAD @ SD	W	+0.59
2026-05-19	★★★	BOS ML	-135	BOS @ KC	W	+0.74
2026-05-18	★★★	LAD ML	-143	LAD @ SD	L	-1.00
2026-05-18	★★★	ATH ML	-130	ATH @ LAA	L	-1.00
2026-05-18	★★★	NYY ML	-164	TOR @ NYY	W	+0.61
2026-05-17	★★★	SEA ML	n/a	SD @ SEA	L	-1.00
2026-05-17	★★★	WSH ML	+100	BAL @ WSH	L	-1.00
2026-05-16	★★★	NYY ML	-120	NYY @ NYM	L	-1.00
2026-05-16	★★★	PHI ML	-169	PHI @ PIT	W	+0.59
2026-05-16	★★★	ATL ML	-120	BOS @ ATL	L	-1.00
2026-05-15	★★★	NYY ML	-143	NYY @ NYM	W	+0.70
2026-05-15	★★★	SEA ML	-133	SD @ SEA	L	-1.00
2026-05-15	★★★	ATL ML	-145	BOS @ ATL	W	+0.69
2026-05-15	★★★	LAD ML	-182	LAD @ LAA	W	+0.55
2026-05-15	★★★	CLE ML	-141	CIN @ CLE	L	-1.00
2026-05-14	★★★	PIT ML	-169	COL @ PIT	W	+0.59
2026-05-14	★★★	LAD ML	n/a	SF @ LAD	W	+0.91
2026-05-13	★★★	MIL ML	-164	SD @ MIL	L	-1.00
2026-05-13	★★★	CLE ML	-149	LAA @ CLE	W	+0.67
2026-05-13	★★★	LAD ML	n/a	SF @ LAD	W	+0.91
2026-05-13	★★★	NYY ML	-159	NYY @ BAL	L	-1.00
2026-05-12	★★★	NYY ML	-135	NYY @ BAL	W	+0.74
2026-05-12	★★★	SEA ML	-182	SEA @ HOU	W	+0.55
2026-05-11	★★★	NYY ML	-149	NYY @ BAL	L	-1.00
2026-05-10	★★★	PHI ML	-303	COL @ PHI	W	+0.33
2026-05-09	★★★	TOR ML	-182	LAA @ TOR	W	+0.55
2026-05-09	★★★	HOU ML	+140	HOU @ CIN	L	-1.00
2026-05-09	★★★	NYY ML	-133	NYY @ MIL	L	-1.00
2026-05-08	★★★	TB ML	+114	TB @ BOS	L	-1.00
2026-05-08	★★★	NYY ML	-120	NYY @ MIL	L	-1.00
2026-05-08	★★★	CHC ML	-128	CHC @ TEX	W	+0.78
2026-05-08	★★★	CLE ML	-149	MIN @ CLE	W	+0.67
2026-05-07	★★★	NYY ML	n/a	TEX @ NYY	W	+0.91
2026-05-06	★★★	ATL ML	+117	ATL @ SEA	L	-1.00
2026-05-06	★★★	NYY ML	-169	TEX @ NYY	L	-1.00
2026-05-05	★★★	LAD ML	-222	LAD @ HOU	L	-1.00
2026-05-05	★★★	PHI ML	-200	ATH @ PHI	W	+0.50
2026-05-05	★★★	CWS ML	-103	CWS @ LAA	L	-1.00
2026-05-04	★★★	ATL ML	+120	ATL @ SEA	L	-1.00
2026-05-04	★★★	NYY ML	-222	BAL @ NYY	W	+0.45
2026-05-04	★★★	CHC ML	-222	CIN @ CHC	W	+0.45
2026-05-03	★★★	CLE ML	-125	CLE @ ATH	L	-1.00
2026-05-03	★★★	ATL ML	-139	ATL @ COL	W	+0.72
2026-05-03	★★★	NYY ML	-294	BAL @ NYY	W	+0.34
2026-05-02	★★★	NYY ML	-169	BAL @ NYY	W	+0.59
2026-05-01	★★★	SD ML	-143	CWS @ SD	L	-1.00
2026-05-01	★★★	CHC ML	-143	ARI @ CHC	W	+0.70
2026-05-01	★★★	ATL ML	-169	ATL @ COL	W	+0.59